Will Noah Kahan exceed 33M monthly Spotify listeners before Season 1 ends?
Implied probability45%
NO 55%YES 45%
Rules
—
Primary source
open.spotify.com
Fallback
—
Closes
Oct 10, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
Resolves
Oct 12, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
Manipulation risk
low
Wallet eligibility
casual, season, sprint, long view
Resolution protocol
Final on decision- Primary source
- https://open.spotify.com/artist/2RQXRUsr4IW1f3mKyKsy4B ↗
- Dispute window
- 72h
- Resolution rules
- Primary source: the artist's public Spotify profile (2RQXRUsr4IW1f3mKyKsy4B). Observed value = monthly listener count parsed from the page metadata at any observation timestamp before the market closes. Resolves YES if any observed value is >= 33,000,000. Ahead does not claim Spotify endorsement.
Ahead observes the source once at the stated observation time. Screenshots and observed values are stored as evidence. No continuous scraping. Independent play-money — no affiliation with any listed source.