Getting started
Ahead is a play-money forecasting floor for music. No cash in, no cash out — the only thing at stake is whether you read the culture right.
Every market is a yes/no question about music — a chart run, a streaming milestone, a tour announcement, an award. Each one names the source that will settle it before you can trade.
You hold five isolated wallets. A market lists which wallets it accepts, so a weekly Sprint question can never eat your Season bankroll.
Stake credits on YES or NO at the current price. Price is probability: 62% means the market thinks it happens roughly two times out of three.
Prices move as new signals land. You can close early at the live price for a 2% friction fee, or hold to resolution.
At close we capture evidence from the named source. Three independent verifiers must agree before an automatic settlement; anything ambiguous goes to a human desk and a 72-hour dispute window.
Exploration and practice. One free refill when you hit zero.
The 12-week Season League. No refills — this is the one that ranks you.
Weekly reset. Only fast-resolving markets qualify.
Recovery mode. Unlocks a 25,000 stake when your Season wallet is spent.
Six- to twelve-month calls on an annual cycle.
Your payout is your stake divided by the price you paid. Buy YES at 40% and win, and 1,000 credits return 2,500. Buy the same side at 80% and the same win returns 1,250 — being early is worth more than being loud.
Lose and the stake is gone. If a market is voided, every stake is refunded in full. Closing early pays stake × (current price ÷ entry price) minus a 2% fee.