Will Sabrina Carpenter out-listen Olivia Rodrigo on Spotify at season close?
Implied probability56%
NO 44%YES 56%
Price history
Every trade, snapshot and resolution moves the line.
0 points
Collecting price data56% now
Rules
Compares monthly listener counts shown on both public Spotify artist profiles at the observation time. Higher count wins.
Primary source
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Fallback
—
Closes
Sep 16, 2026, 10:46 AM UTC
Resolves
Sep 17, 2026, 10:46 AM UTC
Manipulation risk
low
Wallet eligibility
casual, season, sprint, encore, long view
Resolution protocol
Final on decision- Primary source
- https://open.spotify.com/artist/74KM79TiuVKeVCqs8QtB0B ↗
- Dispute window
- 72h
- Resolution rules
- Compares monthly listener counts shown on both public Spotify artist profiles at the observation time. Higher count wins.
Ahead observes the source once at the stated observation time. Screenshots and observed values are stored as evidence. No continuous scraping. Independent play-money — no affiliation with any listed source.