Will Gracie Abrams exceed 41M monthly Spotify listeners before Season 1 ends?
Implied probability47%
NO 53%YES 47%
Price history
Every trade, snapshot and resolution moves the line.
0 points
Collecting price data47% now
Rules
—
Primary source
open.spotify.com
Fallback
—
Closes
Sep 7, 2026, 7:56 AM UTC
Resolves
Sep 8, 2026, 7:56 AM UTC
Manipulation risk
low
Wallet eligibility
casual, season, sprint, long view
Resolution protocol
Final on decision- Primary source
- https://open.spotify.com/artist/4tuJ0bMpJh08umKkEXKUI5 ↗
- Dispute window
- 72h
- Resolution rules
- Primary source: the artist's public Spotify profile (4tuJ0bMpJh08umKkEXKUI5). Observed value = monthly listener count parsed from the page metadata at any observation timestamp before the market closes. Resolves YES if any observed value is >= 41,000,000. Ahead does not claim Spotify endorsement.
Ahead observes the source once at the stated observation time. Screenshots and observed values are stored as evidence. No continuous scraping. Independent play-money — no affiliation with any listed source.